According to The Signal election forecasting model from Vox Pop Labs, as soon as Parliament dissolved so too did the comfortable lead enjoyed by the Liberal Party in the run-up to the election campaign. Immediately following the election call support for the Liberal Party dropped sharply to its lowest levels in months. By the second week of the campaign the Conservatives had overtaken the Liberals in vote share and saw gains across the country but particularly in Ontario and British Columbia. By the midway point in the campaign the Conservatives have pulled ahead of the Liberals according to the model’s projected seat shares—although presently they still lack the requisite number of seats to form a majority government. Early gains for the NDP appear to have plateaued with the party currently projected to regain some of the seats it lost in 2019 but still well short of a repeat of its 2011 performance.